Decision_Confidence

“Considerable” Consequences

When avalanche conditions “improve,” is it really safe to get out there? On February 27, 2012, the Canadian Avalanche Centre posted a new article by avi forecaster Ilya Storm on their Forecasters Blog. Ilya described how conditions were improving in the backcountry, but as a forecaster he was still worried. Turns out, when conditions move from Extreme/High down to Considerable (check…

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Helmet, Shmelmet!

I’ve been thinking and talking about risk and reward a lot this summer and have found the conversations always lead to the same issue: what is reasonable risk? Obviously the idea isn’t to exterminate all risk from our lives or we’d all be playing Tetris instead of spending our days outside. But in our society the level of acceptable risk…

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